Every discount buys something, but often it's a visit that was coming anyway. Ask a model trained on your own customers which offer each one actually needs, and it comes back with plays that lift spend and protect margin: set menus instead of percentages, pairings instead of points.
1lifetime_spend_labelThis use caseMove customers into higher bands, above all from Moderate to High.
2orders_labelTurn one-time buyers into repeat buyers.
3loyalty_engagement_labelGrow the Engaged group, who spend twice as much and repeat three times as often.
4account_age_labelSee more customers reach Long-standing, five years or more.
Channels
Email
SMS
CRM / Lifecycle
Loyalty / Rewards
Customer Experience
Meta
Google
+5 more
Use case briefPublished
GoalCut reward cost without losing trips
KPIs, in priority order
1theo_bandThis use caseGrow theo per trip against reward cost: free play where it changes behaviour.
2trip_frequencyHold trip frequency as free play comes down.
3club_tierKeep members' tier progress on track while rewards change shape.
Channels
Direct mail
Email
SMS
Kiosk
Hosts
Hotel CRM
App push
+1 more
Use case briefPublished
GoalGrow ancillary revenue without discounting fares
KPIs, in priority order
1ancillary_bandThis use caseLift paid extras per trip: seats, bags, upgrades and lounge.
2booking_channelKeep extras on direct bookings, where the margin is.
3club_tierOffer upgrades where they build loyalty, not where members would buy anyway.
Channels
App push
Email
Booking flow
Check-in
Airport
Aurora Club
Partner hotels
Use case briefPublished
GoalGrow margin per guest
KPIs, in priority order
1aov_tierThis use caseLift spend per cover without discounting: more Mid guests ordering like High.
2frequency_tierTurn Occasional guests into Regulars, one more visit a quarter.
3recency_tierWin back Cooling guests before they lapse, without a blanket discount.
Channels
Email
SMS
Bookings
POS
Loyalty / Rewards
Paid social
Google
+2 more
Every use case starts with a brief like this one.
The action plan
The plays that hold full price.
An example run for Pacewright Running, a Neuralift demo brand: a performance running brand with its own shoes and apparel. Three of its seven ranked actions are offer and margin plays: step through them and the map lights up the segments each one reaches.
Read the segments by
Segments20
Customers81,138
On this lenslifetime_spend_labelorders_labelloyalty_engagement_labelaccount_age_label
37%38%18%
Light
Moderate
High
Top
73%22%
One-time
Repeat
Loyal
41%28%31%
No sign-ins
Signed in once
Engaged
24%56%
New
Established
Tenured
Long-standing
Shoebox Purists
Dana
Representative customer
10,031 customers · 12.4%
38%Light
32%Moderate
17%High
13%Top
68%One-time
18%Repeat
14%Loyal
42%No sign-ins
26%Signed in once
32%Engaged
23%New
51%Established
13%Tenured
14%Long-standing
What sets them apart
A shoes-and-nothing-else crowd, often buying for their children.
Spring race season drives the purchase, and partner channels bring more of it in than anywhere else.
31% High or Top lifetime spend.
Run-Club Shoe Faithful
Marcus
Representative customer
9,747 customers · 12.0%
31%Light
40%Moderate
21%High
8%Top
70%One-time
22%Repeat
8%Loyal
39%No sign-ins
26%Signed in once
35%Engaged
26%New
46%Established
14%Tenured
14%Long-standing
What sets them apart
Come for a performance pair as the season turns, found through site search.
Run-club and verified-service codes show up at checkout; holiday rush and lifestyle styles pass them by.
30% High or Top lifetime spend.
Comfort Stride Crowd
Linda
Representative customer
7,219 customers · 8.9%
39%Light
48%Moderate
12%High
1%Top
88%One-time
12%Repeat
0%Loyal
51%No sign-ins
25%Signed in once
24%Engaged
27%New
64%Established
5%Tenured
3%Long-standing
What sets them apart
One walking shoe, one purpose, one wearer, bought outright and mostly online.
No performance running pair in the box: everything they own from the brand is lifestyle.
13% High or Top lifetime spend.
Single-Lane Runners
Theo
Representative customer
4,882 customers · 6.0%
50%Light
25%Moderate
18%High
8%Top
70%One-time
24%Repeat
6%Loyal
35%No sign-ins
35%Signed in once
31%Engaged
26%New
55%Established
10%Tenured
9%Long-standing
What sets them apart
One product type for one purpose, often running apparel rather than shoes.
Read the returns, policy and support pages before they commit again.
25% High or Top lifetime spend.
Promo-Timed Online Shoe Shoppers
Kayla
Representative customer
4,809 customers · 5.9%
35%Light
31%Moderate
25%High
9%Top
59%One-time
34%Repeat
7%Loyal
31%No sign-ins
30%Signed in once
39%Engaged
11%New
62%Established
16%Tenured
11%Long-standing
What sets them apart
The relationship starts, and usually stops, at a discounted running pair.
November is their month: they come in on the Black Friday markdown, through site search.
34% High or Top lifetime spend.
Fashion-First Footwear Buyers
Tatum
Representative customer
3,788 customers · 4.7%
21%Light
52%Moderate
21%High
6%Top
75%One-time
23%Repeat
2%Loyal
39%No sign-ins
25%Signed in once
36%Engaged
46%New
47%Established
5%Tenured
2%Long-standing
What sets them apart
Style shoppers inside a running brand, choosing from the fashion pages.
Pay a fuller ticket online and leave the performance catalog untouched.
27% High or Top lifetime spend.
Full-Price Road Regulars
Owen
Representative customer
3,566 customers · 4.4%
27%Light
41%Moderate
19%High
13%Top
66%One-time
23%Repeat
11%Loyal
36%No sign-ins
19%Signed in once
45%Engaged
20%New
54%Established
14%Tenured
12%Long-standing
What sets them apart
Single-minded running-shoe buyers who shop the site and nothing else.
Buy in late summer, read the rewards page, and let member pricing do the discounting.
32% High or Top lifetime spend.
Tennis Court Regulars
Victor
Representative customer
3,562 customers · 4.4%
38%Light
37%Moderate
20%High
5%Top
73%One-time
24%Repeat
3%Loyal
49%No sign-ins
27%Signed in once
24%Engaged
22%New
61%Established
10%Tenured
7%Long-standing
What sets them apart
Come for court shoes and nothing else: one proven pair, close to list price.
Running, apparel and promotional hooks pass them by.
24% High or Top lifetime spend.
Style-First Sneaker Buyers
Jade
Representative customer
3,400 customers · 4.2%
40%Light
45%Moderate
14%High
2%Top
85%One-time
14%Repeat
1%Loyal
43%No sign-ins
40%Signed in once
18%Engaged
34%New
53%Established
6%Tenured
7%Long-standing
What sets them apart
A single pair chosen for how it looks, not what it's built to do.
Product pages rarely convert on the spot, and few come back to the site.
15% High or Top lifetime spend.
New Year Speed Seekers
Priya
Representative customer
3,307 customers · 4.1%
30%Light
40%Moderate
25%High
5%Top
79%One-time
19%Repeat
2%Loyal
46%No sign-ins
20%Signed in once
35%Engaged
35%New
50%Established
8%Tenured
8%Long-standing
What sets them apart
A fast performance shoe, ordered online at the turn of the year.
Lifestyle pieces are absent from the basket.
30% High or Top lifetime spend.
Counter-Fit Running Households
Rosa
Representative customer
3,146 customers · 3.9%
11%Light
33%Moderate
43%High
13%Top
34%One-time
57%Repeat
9%Loyal
14%No sign-ins
40%Signed in once
47%Engaged
15%New
46%Established
22%Tenured
17%Long-standing
What sets them apart
Households who buy running shoes at the store counter, not on the site.
Apparel rides along with the shoes; court sports draw no attention.
56% High or Top lifetime spend.
Clearance-Rack Shoe Hunters
Derek
Representative customer
2,994 customers · 3.7%
59%Light
27%Moderate
13%High
2%Top
74%One-time
24%Repeat
2%Loyal
28%No sign-ins
28%Signed in once
45%Engaged
16%New
64%Established
12%Tenured
8%Long-standing
What sets them apart
Outlet shoppers, not brand shoppers: an older model, discounted, bought once.
Member pricing stacks on the markdown; they live on the order and shipping pages.
14% High or Top lifetime spend.
Trailhead Newcomers
Wyatt
Representative customer
2,889 customers · 3.6%
40%Light
35%Moderate
20%High
5%Top
71%One-time
26%Repeat
3%Loyal
40%No sign-ins
30%Signed in once
30%Engaged
22%New
56%Established
12%Tenured
11%Long-standing
What sets them apart
Trail is how they entered the brand: one off-road pair at the pricier end.
Little browsing, almost no email clicks and no curiosity about rewards.
25% High or Top lifetime spend.
Pitch-and-Court Rookies
Mateo
Representative customer
2,854 customers · 3.5%
38%Light
45%Moderate
13%High
3%Top
82%One-time
16%Repeat
3%Loyal
58%No sign-ins
19%Signed in once
23%Engaged
33%New
54%Established
7%Tenured
6%Long-standing
What sets them apart
One online order for one sport need, tilted toward soccer and core performance.
Bought as spring turns to summer, close to list, with loyalty benefits ignored.
17% High or Top lifetime spend.
Accessory-Led Store Visitors
Joan
Representative customer
2,737 customers · 3.4%
43%Light
40%Moderate
15%High
2%Top
81%One-time
18%Repeat
1%Loyal
28%No sign-ins
42%Signed in once
30%Engaged
32%New
50%Established
9%Tenured
9%Long-standing
What sets them apart
A small mixed basket at the counter: an accessory beside a modest shoe.
No sport attached and almost no site browsing either side of the purchase.
17% High or Top lifetime spend.
Warm-Month Running Purists
Nina
Representative customer
2,654 customers · 3.3%
40%Light
49%Moderate
10%High
1%Top
90%One-time
10%Repeat
0%Loyal
66%No sign-ins
18%Signed in once
17%Engaged
21%New
66%Established
6%Tenured
7%Long-standing
What sets them apart
Shoe-only first buyers who pick a freshly launched style in June or October.
No store trip, no add-ons, no rewards sign-in, and email goes unclicked.
11% High or Top lifetime spend.
Opt-Out Footwear Loyalists
Harold
Representative customer
2,554 customers · 3.1%
36%Light
36%Moderate
22%High
6%Top
66%One-time
29%Repeat
4%Loyal
32%No sign-ins
35%Signed in once
33%Engaged
9%New
52%Established
24%Tenured
15%Long-standing
What sets them apart
Loyal shoe buyers who have already reached for the unsubscribe link.
Walking styles fit their routine, and they seldom shop on a phone.
28% High or Top lifetime spend.
Shoes-Only Full-Price Shoppers
Celia
Representative customer
2,491 customers · 3.1%
38%Light
43%Moderate
16%High
4%Top
80%One-time
18%Repeat
3%Loyal
42%No sign-ins
38%Signed in once
20%Engaged
12%New
73%Established
9%Tenured
7%Long-standing
What sets them apart
Come in once, in early fall or November, for a single pair on its merits.
Loyalty pricing sits idle and inbox actions stay quiet.
20% High or Top lifetime spend.
Court Sport Starters
Andre
Representative customer
2,383 customers · 2.9%
57%Light
31%Moderate
11%High
1%Top
81%One-time
18%Repeat
1%Loyal
48%No sign-ins
32%Signed in once
21%Engaged
24%New
60%Established
9%Tenured
7%Long-standing
What sets them apart
Came for one indoor court pair and stopped there.
Court-sport pages draw them in; the running wall goes unshopped.
13% High or Top lifetime spend.
December Running Newcomers
Sienna
Representative customer
2,125 customers · 2.6%
48%Light
42%Moderate
10%High
1%Top
91%One-time
9%Repeat
0%Loyal
49%No sign-ins
35%Signed in once
17%Engaged
0%New
87%Established
7%Tenured
6%Long-standing
What sets them apart
A single running pair at holiday time, at or near list price.
Then quiet on every channel: no run-club code, no apparel, no repeat.
10% High or Top lifetime spend.
Pacewright Running, a Neuralift demo brand, in an illustrative run: the segments and figures are examples. Hover a segment to see what sets it apart.
Action 03 of 07Margin neutral
Attach a second line to footwear-only baskets
impact: medium
effort: low
confidence: good
~$227Kest. incremental value
Reaches 21,695 customers · 22% of the base
The first basket is shoes alone
0%of December newcomers add apparelvs36%everyone else
Who
Footwear buyers whose history holds one product type and no apparel or accessories
Offer
One sport-matched add-on at a $12–$18 member price, shipped with the shoes
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
Action 04 of 07Protects margin
Stop discounting the customers already paying full price
impact: medium
effort: low
confidence: good
~$201Kest. incremental value
Reaches 34,500 customers · 35% of the base
They already pay close to list
14%their average discountvs15%house average
Who
No outlet or Black Friday buys, and discounts under about 15%
Offer
No price incentive: newness, fit guidance and early access at list
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
Action 06 of 07Protects margin
Give first-buyers early access instead of a markdown
impact: medium
effort: medium
confidence: good
~$74Kest. incremental value
Reaches 12,683 customers · 13% of the base
They buy models fresh to market
12 momedian time past launch of the freshest model they bought
Who
Full-price buyers whose freshest model was under a year past launch
Offer
A 48–72 hour first look with their size held, at list price
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
01 / 03
The action plan
Free play where it changes a trip.
An example run for Copper Cactus Casino, a Neuralift demo brand with a flagship casino resort, an online casino, and more resorts on the way, briefed to cut reward cost without losing trips. Four of its nine ranked actions are offer plays: step through them and the map lights up the segments each one reaches.
Read the segments by
Segments15
Members213,200
On this lensclub_tiertheo_bandtrip_frequencydigital_active
29%38%24%
Bronze
Silver
Gold
Platinum
27%37%25%
Low
Mid
High
VIP
33%28%28%
Annual
Quarterly
Monthly
Weekly
65%35%
No
Yes
Saturday Drive-In Slot Regulars
Marlene
Representative customer
28,400 members · 13.3%
24%Bronze
49%Silver
23%Gold
4%Platinum
20%Low
45%Mid
29%High
6%VIP
5%Annual
36%Quarterly
47%Monthly
12%Weekly
89%No
11%Yes
What sets them apart
Drive in from within two hours for Saturday slots and leave the same night.
Play steadily but almost never book a room.
Many sit a trip or two short of Gold.
Comp-Driven Hotel Weekenders
Russ
Representative customer
22,600 members · 10.6%
10%Bronze
38%Silver
40%Gold
12%Platinum
12%Low
40%Mid
36%High
12%VIP
14%Annual
52%Quarterly
30%Monthly
4%Weekly
80%No
20%Yes
What sets them apart
Book on a comped-room offer and fill the weekend with dining and the spa.
The trip happens when the offer lands.
Hotel and dining are half their value.
Online-Only App Spinners
Devin
Representative customer
21,800 members · 10.2%
62%Bronze
28%Silver
8%Gold
2%Platinum
34%Low
42%Mid
19%High
5%VIP
92%Annual
6%Quarterly
2%Monthly
0%Weekly
0%No
100%Yes
What sets them apart
Play the app's slots most nights and have never visited the property.
Short sessions, small stakes, very frequent.
Bronze by default: the club barely counts digital play.
Table-Game Tier Chasers
Hector
Representative customer
18,200 members · 8.5%
4%Bronze
30%Silver
48%Gold
18%Platinum
3%Low
22%Mid
46%High
29%VIP
2%Annual
24%Quarterly
52%Monthly
22%Weekly
74%No
26%Yes
What sets them apart
Blackjack and craps players who watch their tier status closely.
Their play runs ahead of their tier.
Respond to tier-match and status messages.
Weekday Senior Slot Club
Doris
Representative customer
17,600 members · 8.3%
20%Bronze
52%Silver
24%Gold
4%Platinum
26%Low
50%Mid
20%High
4%VIP
2%Annual
18%Quarterly
46%Monthly
34%Weekly
97%No
3%Yes
What sets them apart
Come midweek on the bus programme and senior-day promotions.
The most regular visitors in the club, at modest stakes.
Almost no digital play.
Lapsed Former Gold Members
Gwen
Representative customer
16,400 members · 7.7%
8%Bronze
52%Silver
36%Gold
4%Platinum
24%Low
46%Mid
24%High
6%VIP
58%Annual
34%Quarterly
8%Monthly
0%Weekly
86%No
14%Yes
What sets them apart
Held Gold for years, then dropped a tier as trips thinned out.
Still open the Copper Club mail.
Down to one or two trips a year.
Crossover Sportsbook Fans
Tyrese
Representative customer
15,900 members · 7.5%
30%Bronze
42%Silver
22%Gold
6%Platinum
14%Low
40%Mid
34%High
12%VIP
26%Annual
40%Quarterly
28%Monthly
6%Weekly
10%No
90%Yes
What sets them apart
Bet sports in the app and visit for the big fixtures.
Watch parties and the sportsbook lounge bring them on site.
Digital and land play rise and fall together.
Free-Play Redeemers
Kyle
Representative customer
14,300 members · 6.7%
46%Bronze
40%Silver
12%Gold
2%Platinum
52%Low
36%Mid
10%High
2%VIP
20%Annual
48%Quarterly
28%Monthly
4%Weekly
64%No
36%Yes
What sets them apart
Visit when a free-play mailer lands, redeem it and leave.
Theo barely covers the free play they cost.
Mailers drive every trip.
Resort Event Guests
Celine
Representative customer
12,700 members · 6.0%
70%Bronze
24%Silver
5%Gold
1%Platinum
72%Low
22%Mid
5%High
1%VIP
86%Annual
12%Quarterly
2%Monthly
0%Weekly
92%No
8%Yes
What sets them apart
Come for a concert, a show or a conference and play a little on the side.
Most joined the club at the event and never came back.
A first-trip pool for the next event.
Poker Room Grinders
Wes
Representative customer
9,800 members · 4.6%
26%Bronze
46%Silver
22%Gold
6%Platinum
44%Low
38%Mid
14%High
4%VIP
4%Annual
22%Quarterly
46%Monthly
28%Weekly
58%No
42%Yes
What sets them apart
Long poker sessions, little slot or table play.
Rake rather than theo is their value.
Tournaments set their calendar.
Holiday-Only Visitors
Frank
Representative customer
9,100 members · 4.3%
48%Bronze
40%Silver
11%Gold
1%Platinum
40%Low
44%Mid
14%High
2%VIP
94%Annual
6%Quarterly
0%Monthly
0%Weekly
90%No
10%Yes
What sets them apart
Visit around Thanksgiving, New Year or a birthday, once a year.
Spend well on the one trip.
Quiet the rest of the year by design, not lapsed.
High-Limit Slot Weekenders
Lorna
Representative customer
8,900 members · 4.2%
2%Bronze
18%Silver
46%Gold
34%Platinum
0%Low
8%Mid
38%High
54%VIP
6%Annual
40%Quarterly
42%Monthly
12%Weekly
82%No
18%Yes
What sets them apart
High-limit slot room regulars on Friday and Saturday nights.
High theo per trip, a few trips a quarter.
Respond to dining and suite upgrades, not free play.
Digital-First Lapsing Players
Ava
Representative customer
7,400 members · 3.5%
58%Bronze
32%Silver
9%Gold
1%Platinum
30%Low
44%Mid
22%High
4%VIP
96%Annual
4%Quarterly
0%Monthly
0%Weekly
0%No
100%Yes
What sets them apart
App players whose sessions have halved in two months.
Activity follows the promotions.
At risk of drifting to another app.
Platinum Host-Managed Players
Raymond
Representative customer
6,200 members · 2.9%
0%Bronze
0%Silver
22%Gold
78%Platinum
0%Low
4%Mid
26%High
70%VIP
2%Annual
10%Quarterly
40%Monthly
48%Weekly
70%No
30%Yes
What sets them apart
The property's top players, each with a named host.
Fly in for tournaments and holiday weekends.
A small group carrying a large share of theo.
Steakhouse and Buffet Locals
Sal
Representative customer
3,900 members · 1.8%
56%Bronze
34%Silver
9%Gold
1%Platinum
70%Low
24%Mid
5%High
1%VIP
4%Annual
30%Quarterly
46%Monthly
20%Weekly
94%No
6%Yes
What sets them apart
Come for the steakhouse and the buffet more than the floor.
Play a little after dinner.
High dining spend, low theo.
Copper Cactus Casino, a Neuralift demo brand, in an illustrative run: the segments and figures are examples. Hover a segment to see what sets it apart.
Action 01 of 09Protects margin
Retire free play for members who'd come anyway
impact: medium
effort: low
confidence: good
~$134Kest. incremental value
Reaches 8,500 members · 4% of the base
Their visits don't move with the mailer
4.1trips a month, mailer weeksvs3.9other weeks
Who
Weekly regulars whose trips hold with or without free play
Offer
Recognition instead of free play: a named slot host, birthday dining and early event access
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
Action 02 of 09Protects margin
Cap free play where theo doesn't cover it
impact: high
effort: low
confidence: good
~$125Kest. incremental value
Reaches 9,800 members · 5% of the base
Their play barely covers what they're given
0.9×theo against free-play costvs3.4×club average
Who
Members whose trips follow the free-play mailer and whose theo barely covers it
Offer
A smaller mailer tied to a weekday trip, with dining credit in place of part of the free play
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
Action 03 of 09Protects margin
Swap free play for suites and dining at the high-limit tables
impact: high
effort: low
confidence: good
~$204Kest. incremental value
Reaches 7,300 members · 3% of the base
They answer to suites, not free play
3.2×response to a suite upgradevs1×to free play
Who
High-limit and hotel-weekend regulars who redeem free play but book the suites
Offer
A suite upgrade and a steakhouse table in place of the free-play mailer
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
Action 05 of 09Margin neutral
Bring event guests back for the next show, not the free play
impact: medium
effort: medium
confidence: moderate
~432est. members who make a second trip
Reaches 5,400 members · 3% of the base
They came for the show, not the floor
86%have made a single trip
Who
Members who joined the club at a concert, show or conference
Offer
A dinner-and-show package for the next event on the calendar, with no free play attached
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
01 / 04
The action plan
Upgrades for the guests who'll take them.
An example run for Aurora Air, a Neuralift demo brand: an international airline, briefed to grow ancillary revenue without discounting fares. Four of its eight ranked actions are offer plays: step through them and the map lights up the segments each one reaches.
Read the segments by
Segments14
Guests1,933,000
On this lensclub_tierbooking_channeltrips_bandancillary_band
56%21%19%
Blue
Silver
Gold
Polaris
44%56%
OTA
Direct
34%36%18%
1
2–3
4–9
10+
26%41%32%
None
Low
High
Holiday Return-Trip Families
Megan
Representative customer
312,000 guests · 16.1%
78%Blue
16%Silver
5%Gold
1%Polaris
44%OTA
56%Direct
38%1
52%2–3
10%4–9
0%10+
10%None
40%Low
50%High
What sets them apart
Book a return trip for four each summer, months ahead.
Bags, seats together and meals: the most extras per booking.
Book direct to keep the family seated together.
OTA Fare Hunters
Kieran
Representative customer
284,000 guests · 14.7%
92%Blue
7%Silver
1%Gold
0%Polaris
88%OTA
12%Direct
62%1
32%2–3
6%4–9
0%10+
58%None
36%Low
6%High
What sets them apart
Find Aurora on a metasearch site and book the lowest fare.
Rarely join the club, and never add extras.
Most of the base's distribution cost sits here.
Weekday Business Commuters
Graham
Representative customer
226,000 guests · 11.7%
12%Blue
30%Silver
38%Gold
20%Polaris
18%OTA
82%Direct
0%1
6%2–3
40%4–9
54%10+
20%None
46%Low
34%High
What sets them apart
Fly the same two or three business routes, out Monday, back Thursday.
Book direct through the corporate tool.
The lounge and fast track decide their airline.
Northern Lights Adventurers
Freya
Representative customer
198,000 guests · 10.2%
70%Blue
22%Silver
7%Gold
1%Polaris
36%OTA
64%Direct
52%1
40%2–3
8%4–9
0%10+
18%None
44%Low
38%High
What sets them apart
Fly north for aurora season: Tromsø, Reykjavik, Rovaniemi.
Book tours and packages around the flight.
Winter travellers, back season after season.
Visiting-Family Flyers
Amara
Representative customer
176,000 guests · 9.1%
80%Blue
15%Silver
4%Gold
1%Polaris
54%OTA
46%Direct
30%1
58%2–3
12%4–9
0%10+
40%None
48%Low
12%High
What sets them apart
Fly home to family two or three times a year.
Book when fares drop, close to the holidays.
Carry-on only, seat chosen at check-in.
Golds Nearly Polaris
Daniel
Representative customer
128,000 guests · 6.6%
0%Blue
8%Silver
82%Gold
10%Polaris
10%OTA
90%Direct
0%1
4%2–3
48%4–9
48%10+
8%None
42%Low
50%High
What sets them apart
Gold for years, a few flights short of Polaris every year.
Fly the long-haul routes on business.
Answer status challenges.
Lapsing Former Golds
Patricia
Representative customer
104,000 guests · 5.4%
16%Blue
52%Silver
30%Gold
2%Polaris
30%OTA
70%Direct
44%1
46%2–3
10%4–9
0%10+
24%None
52%Low
24%High
What sets them apart
Held Gold until a job change; now fly twice a year.
Still open every Aurora Club email.
Drifting to a rival's hub.
Premium Cabin Leisure Couples
Henri
Representative customer
96,000 guests · 5.0%
40%Blue
34%Silver
22%Gold
4%Polaris
28%OTA
72%Direct
24%1
60%2–3
16%4–9
0%10+
4%None
20%Low
76%High
What sets them apart
Fly business class for one big trip a year, economy otherwise.
Pay cash, not points, and add the lounge.
The highest fare per trip in leisure.
Points Redemption Planners
Owen
Representative customer
88,000 guests · 4.6%
10%Blue
40%Silver
40%Gold
10%Polaris
12%OTA
88%Direct
10%1
46%2–3
40%4–9
4%10+
30%None
52%Low
18%High
What sets them apart
Plan trips around award seats.
Fly most of their trips on points.
Watch the points balance more than the fare.
Student and Gap-Year Backpackers
Lily
Representative customer
82,000 guests · 4.2%
90%Blue
9%Silver
1%Gold
0%Polaris
70%OTA
30%Direct
40%1
46%2–3
14%4–9
0%10+
64%None
32%Low
4%High
What sets them apart
One-way fares, flexible dates, the cheapest seat.
Book through student travel sites.
Next decade's business travellers.
Connecting Long-Haul Transit Guests
Ravi
Representative customer
74,000 guests · 3.8%
62%Blue
24%Silver
12%Gold
2%Polaris
72%OTA
28%Direct
48%1
42%2–3
10%4–9
0%10+
22%None
48%Low
30%High
What sets them apart
Connect through the Aurora hub on the way somewhere else.
Book through partner airlines or OTAs.
A stopover away from a second trip.
Bleisure Weekend Extenders
Sofia
Representative customer
66,000 guests · 3.4%
8%Blue
32%Silver
44%Gold
16%Polaris
16%OTA
84%Direct
0%1
14%2–3
56%4–9
30%10+
12%None
40%Low
48%High
What sets them apart
Turn a Friday meeting into a weekend away.
Move the return flight and add a hotel.
A partner often flies home with them.
Ski Season Groups
Tom
Representative customer
58,000 guests · 3.0%
74%Blue
20%Silver
5%Gold
1%Polaris
40%OTA
60%Direct
46%1
48%2–3
6%4–9
0%10+
6%None
24%Low
70%High
What sets them apart
Fly to the mountains in groups of six to ten, every winter.
Sports equipment on every booking.
One organiser books for the whole group.
First-Time Flyers
Grace
Representative customer
41,000 guests · 2.1%
96%Blue
4%Silver
0%Gold
0%Polaris
52%OTA
48%Direct
100%1
0%2–3
0%4–9
0%10+
46%None
42%Low
12%High
What sets them apart
A first flight with Aurora in the last six months.
Haven't joined Aurora Club.
The second trip decides whether they stay.
Aurora Air, a Neuralift demo brand, in an illustrative run: the segments and figures are examples. Hover a segment to see what sets it apart.
Action 01 of 08Protects margin
Offer premium-cabin upgrades to leisure couples
impact: high
effort: low
confidence: good
~$2.7Mest. incremental value
Reaches 40,000 guests · 2% of the base
They already choose business for the big trip
78%of their fare spend in businessvs6%everyone else
Who
Leisure couples who fly business on one big trip a year and economy otherwise
Offer
A paid upgrade bid on their economy trips, priced from their own business fares
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
Action 02 of 08Margin neutral
Bundle bags and seats for families before they book
impact: high
effort: low
confidence: good
~$1.4Mest. incremental value
Reaches 120,000 guests · 6% of the base
Families buy their extras one by one
$186extras per bookingvs$58everyone else
Who
Families booking a summer return trip for three or more
Offer
Bags, seats together and meals as one bundle at booking, below the price of each bought alone
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
Action 03 of 08Protects margin
Sell ski groups equipment and transfers in one booking
impact: medium
effort: low
confidence: good
~$576Kest. incremental value
Reaches 30,000 guests · 2% of the base
Equipment is on almost every booking
96%carry sports equipmentvs4%everyone else
Who
Groups of six or more flying to mountain destinations in winter
Offer
Skis, boots and a resort transfer added once for the whole group, by the organiser
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
Action 05 of 08Protects margin
Stop discounting fares for business commuters
impact: medium
effort: low
confidence: good
~$630Kest. incremental value
Reaches 70,000 guests · 4% of the base
Their trips don't move with the sale
0.96trips a week in sale weeksvs0.95other weeks
Who
Weekday commuters on fixed business routes who book in fare sales
Offer
Fast track and a lounge pass on their routes instead of the fare sale
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
01 / 04
The action plan
The plays that protect margin.
An example run for Leo's Steakhouse, a Neuralift demo brand with 24 restaurants. Four of its eight ranked actions are offer plays: step through them and the map lights up the segments each one reaches.
Read the segments by
Segments14
Guests149,400
On this lensaov_tierfrequency_tierrecency_tier
23%38%25%14%
Low
Mid
High
Premium
42%36%22%
Occasional
Regular
Frequent
25%31%44%
Lapsed
Cooling
Active
Celebration Diners
Bella
Representative customer
18,600 guests · 12.4%
6%Low
24%Mid
40%High
30%Premium
72%Occasional
24%Regular
4%Frequent
30%Lapsed
42%Cooling
28%Active
What sets them apart
Book for birthdays and anniversaries, two or three times a year.
Order the tomahawk, the wine pairing and dessert.
Respond to the occasion, not the discount.
Business Lunch Regulars
Grant
Representative customer
16,200 guests · 10.8%
10%Low
46%Mid
34%High
10%Premium
8%Occasional
40%Regular
52%Frequent
6%Lapsed
20%Cooling
74%Active
What sets them apart
Weekday lunch with clients, on a company card.
Frequent, quick and set-menu friendly.
Rarely seen at weekends.
Happy-Hour Bar Grazers
Kim
Representative customer
15,800 guests · 10.6%
58%Low
32%Mid
8%High
2%Premium
10%Occasional
44%Regular
46%Frequent
10%Lapsed
26%Cooling
64%Active
What sets them apart
Bar seats at happy hour: sliders, oysters and a cocktail.
Visit often, spend little per visit.
The bar knows them; the dining room hasn't met them.
Discount-Led Occasionals
Rick
Representative customer
14,900 guests · 10.0%
44%Low
40%Mid
13%High
3%Premium
80%Occasional
17%Regular
3%Frequent
42%Lapsed
38%Cooling
20%Active
What sets them apart
Come when a 20%-off email lands, and only then.
Order to the offer: the set menu and a soft drink.
The lowest margin per cover in the base.
Family Sunday Diners
Paul
Representative customer
13,600 guests · 9.1%
20%Low
52%Mid
24%High
4%Premium
34%Occasional
48%Regular
18%Frequent
18%Lapsed
32%Cooling
50%Active
What sets them apart
Sunday early evening, four or five covers, kids' menu.
Steady visitors, mid spend per head.
Respond to family bundles.
Lapsed Weekend Regulars
Lynn
Representative customer
11,200 guests · 7.5%
14%Low
42%Mid
34%High
10%Premium
40%Occasional
46%Regular
14%Frequent
72%Lapsed
24%Cooling
4%Active
What sets them apart
Were Friday-night regulars, last seen five months ago.
Spent as much per visit as ever when they came.
A new location opened near most of them.
Takeout Steak Night Households
Ben
Representative customer
10,300 guests · 6.9%
36%Low
44%Mid
16%High
4%Premium
26%Occasional
46%Regular
28%Frequent
14%Lapsed
30%Cooling
56%Active
What sets them apart
Order steak dinners to go on weeknights.
Rarely dine in.
Bundle-responsive: steak, sides and a bottle.
Loyalty Points Maximisers
Shane
Representative customer
9,900 guests · 6.6%
30%Low
46%Mid
20%High
4%Premium
18%Occasional
48%Regular
34%Frequent
10%Lapsed
30%Cooling
60%Active
What sets them apart
Track points closely and redeem at every chance.
Spend to the next reward threshold.
The reward decides the date.
Wine-Led Premium Diners
Olivia
Representative customer
9,400 guests · 6.3%
0%Low
8%Mid
36%High
56%Premium
30%Occasional
50%Regular
20%Frequent
12%Lapsed
30%Cooling
58%Active
What sets them apart
The wine list drives the check: half their spend is the bottle.
Regulars at two or three locations.
Never redeem a discount.
Pre-Theatre Set-Menu Guests
Ivy
Representative customer
8,700 guests · 5.8%
32%Low
52%Mid
14%High
2%Premium
52%Occasional
38%Regular
10%Frequent
16%Lapsed
36%Cooling
48%Active
What sets them apart
Book the 5:30 set menu before a show.
Two courses, little wine, out by 7.
About twenty minutes to upsell.
First-Visit Tourists
Ellie
Representative customer
7,100 guests · 4.8%
18%Low
40%Mid
30%High
12%Premium
96%Occasional
4%Regular
0%Frequent
60%Lapsed
30%Cooling
10%Active
What sets them apart
One visit while in town, often a hotel concierge referral.
Spend well on the night.
Won't become regulars, but may review.
Bar-to-Dining Upgraders
Rafael
Representative customer
5,600 guests · 3.7%
10%Low
44%Mid
36%High
10%Premium
20%Occasional
46%Regular
34%Frequent
8%Lapsed
28%Cooling
64%Active
What sets them apart
Started at the bar and now book the dining room too.
Spend per visit up by half over a year.
The path the Happy-Hour Grazers could follow.
Gift-Card Redeemers
Nell
Representative customer
4,300 guests · 2.9%
20%Low
36%Mid
30%High
14%Premium
86%Occasional
12%Regular
2%Frequent
46%Lapsed
34%Cooling
20%Active
What sets them apart
Visit to spend a gift card someone else bought.
Often spend past the card's value.
Most never come back on their own dime.
Private Dining Bookers
Diane
Representative customer
3,800 guests · 2.5%
0%Low
6%Mid
30%High
64%Premium
44%Occasional
40%Regular
16%Frequent
20%Lapsed
38%Cooling
42%Active
What sets them apart
Book the private dining room for teams and clients.
The highest check in the base.
Two or three events a year each.
Leo's Steakhouse, a Neuralift demo brand, in an illustrative run: the segments and figures are examples. Hover a segment to see what sets it apart.
Action 01 of 08Protects margin
Replace the 20%-off email with a set menu that holds margin
impact: high
effort: low
confidence: strong
~$116Kest. incremental value
Reaches 13,800 guests · 9% of the base
The discount moves the visit forward; it doesn't add one
1.1visits a year with the offervs1.0without
Who
Guests whose visits only follow a percentage-off email
Offer
A three-course set menu at a fixed price with a glass of wine, and no percentage off
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
Action 02 of 08Protects margin
Offer the wine pairing when the celebration is booked
impact: high
effort: medium
confidence: good
~$137Kest. incremental value
Reaches 11,200 guests · 7% of the base
Celebration checks run higher when wine is offered at booking
$212check with a pre-booked pairingvs$148without
Who
Guests booking for a birthday or an anniversary
Offer
The sommelier's pairing offered at booking, with dessert on the house
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
Action 03 of 08Margin neutral
Walk happy-hour regulars from the bar to the dining room
impact: medium
effort: low
confidence: good
~738est. guests who book a dinner in the dining room
Reaches 8,200 guests · 5% of the base
Bar-to-dining upgraders spend half as much again
$96per visit after upgradingvs$64before
Who
Bar regulars with three or more happy-hour visits a month and no dining booking
Offer
A chef's-table seat for two, booked from the bar with one tap
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
Action 05 of 08Margin neutral
Win back weekend regulars at their nearest location
impact: medium
effort: medium
confidence: moderate
~979est. guests who return within 60 days
Reaches 8,900 guests · 6% of the base
Most now live nearer the new Riverside location
68%within 15 minutes of Riversidevs21%everyone else
Who
Friday-night regulars not seen in four to six months
Offer
A reserved Friday table at Riverside with its opening-night menu
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
01 / 04
Why it's different
Beyond the promo calendar.
Most offers go out on a calendar: the same markdown to everyone, every holiday. Some of those customers needed it; many would have bought anyway. Neuralift finds which offer each group of customers actually responds to, including none at all, so margin is spent where it changes behaviour.
A promo calendar
whenoffersent to
Black Friday30% offAll customers
JanuaryClearanceAll customers
Spring15% off runningMembers
The same offer for everyone, including customers who'd have bought anyway.
A Neuralift view
The offer each group needs
Full-Price Road Regulars26%no offer neededFashion-First Footwear Buyers22%early access at listShoebox Purists20%a sport-matched add-onPromo-Timed Online Shoe Shoppers18%the markdown they came forClearance-Rack Shoe Hunters14%outlet only
Full-Price Road Regulars already pay close to list. Leaving them off the Black Friday sends protects margin on every order.
Fashion-First Footwear Buyers buy models fresh to market. A first look at list price does more than a markdown.
Offer fitMargin flagsRanked playsHoldoutsAn example view on the Pacewright Running demo run.
Discount less, sell more
Hold full price for the guests who were coming anyway, and save the offer for the ones it actually moves.
The right offer for each guest
A pairing, a set menu, a bundle or nothing at all: every group gets the offer it responds to.
Measure what's incremental
Holdouts on every play show the visits and spend the offer actually added, not just the redemptions.
Why it's different
Beyond the promo calendar.
Most offers go out on a calendar: the same free-play mailer to everyone, every month. Some of those players needed it; many would have come anyway. Neuralift finds which offer each group of players actually responds to, including none at all, so reward cost is spent where it changes a trip.
A promo calendar
whenoffersent to
1st of the month$50 free playAll members
FridayDining creditSilver and up
Birthday month$100 free playAll members
The same mailer for everyone, including players who'd have come anyway.
A Neuralift view
The offer each group needs
Weekday Senior Slot Club28%no free play neededFree-Play Redeemers24%a smaller mailerHigh-Limit Slot Weekenders18%a suite, not free playResort Event Guests18%the next showSaturday Drive-In Slot Regulars12%recognition
Weekday Senior Slot Club visit at the same pace with or without the mailer, so recognition replaces free play without losing a trip.
High-Limit Slot Weekenders answer a suite upgrade at 3.2 times the rate of free play, at a lower cost.
Offer fitMargin flagsRanked playsHoldoutsAn example view on the Copper Cactus demo run.
Discount less, sell more
Hold full price for the guests who were coming anyway, and save the offer for the ones it actually moves.
The right offer for each guest
A pairing, a set menu, a bundle or nothing at all: every group gets the offer it responds to.
Measure what's incremental
Holdouts on every play show the visits and spend the offer actually added, not just the redemptions.
Why it's different
Beyond the promo calendar.
Most offers go out on a calendar: the same fare sale to everyone, every season. Some of those travellers needed it; many would have flown anyway. Neuralift finds which offer each group actually responds to, including none at all, so margin is spent where it changes a booking.
A promo calendar
whenoffersent to
January20% off faresAll members
SpringBag includedAll routes
AutumnDouble pointsAurora Club
The same sale for everyone, including travellers who'd have flown anyway.
A Neuralift view
The offer each group needs
Weekday Business Commuters28%no sale neededHoliday Return-Trip Families24%a bags-and-seats bundlePremium Cabin Leisure Couples18%an upgrade bidSki Season Groups16%kit and transfersVisiting-Family Flyers14%a fare alert
Weekday Business Commuters fly the same routes in sale weeks and out of them. Fast track and the lounge hold their bookings without the discount.
Premium Cabin Leisure Couples already choose business for the big trip. An upgrade bid on the rest sells the seat at full value.
Offer fitMargin flagsRanked playsHoldoutsAn example view on the Aurora Air demo run.
Discount less, sell more
Hold full price for the guests who were coming anyway, and save the offer for the ones it actually moves.
The right offer for each guest
A pairing, a set menu, a bundle or nothing at all: every group gets the offer it responds to.
Measure what's incremental
Holdouts on every play show the visits and spend the offer actually added, not just the redemptions.
Why it's different
Beyond the promo calendar.
Most offers go out on a calendar: the same discount to everyone, every Tuesday. Some of those guests needed it; many would have come anyway. Neuralift finds which offer each group of guests actually responds to, including none at all, so margin is spent where it changes behaviour.
A promo calendar
dayoffersent to
Tuesday20% offAll guests
ThursdayFree dessertLoyalty members
SundayKids eat freeAll guests
The same offer for everyone, including guests who'd have come anyway.
A Neuralift view
The offer each group needs
Celebration Diners26%a pairing, not a discountDiscount-Led Occasionals21%a set menuBusiness Lunch Regulars19%no offer neededHappy-Hour Grazers18%a dining-room seatFamily Sunday Diners16%a family bundle
Business Lunch Regulars come weekly with or without an offer, so taking them off the discount list protects margin on every visit.
Celebration Diners spend more when the wine pairing is offered at booking than with any discount.
Offer fitMargin flagsRanked playsHoldoutsAn example view on the Leo's Steakhouse demo run.
Discount less, sell more
Hold full price for the guests who were coming anyway, and save the offer for the ones it actually moves.
The right offer for each guest
A pairing, a set menu, a bundle or nothing at all: every group gets the offer it responds to.
Measure what's incremental
Holdouts on every play show the visits and spend the offer actually added, not just the redemptions.
Horizontal by design
Your model. Any question.
Neuralift builds a model of your customers around your bespoke use case. Explore more use cases through the lens of our demo brands, their KPIs, and actions.
Our team is always happy to talk through your customer data challenges and opportunities. We usually respond within a day, and we love helping teams see what their customer data can tell them.
We use cookies to understand how this site is used and improve it. Accept for full
analytics, or decline and we'll still measure anonymously, without storing cookies.
See our Privacy Policy.