Use cases · Retention & Customer Value

Know who'll come back, and what brings them.

Retention is a question of who returns, who lapses and what moves them. Ask it of a model trained on your own customers and the answer comes back as ranked plays: who to reach, with what, through which channel, and how to prove it worked.

See it for
Use case brief Published
Goal Grow customer value

KPIs, in priority order

  1. 1 lifetime_spend_label Move customers into higher bands, above all from Moderate to High.
  2. 2 orders_label This use case Turn one-time buyers into repeat buyers.
  3. 3 loyalty_engagement_label Grow the Engaged group, who spend twice as much and repeat three times as often.
  4. 4 account_age_label See more customers reach Long-standing, five years or more.

Channels

  • Email
  • SMS
  • CRM / Lifecycle
  • Loyalty / Rewards
  • Customer Experience
  • Meta
  • Google
  • +5 more
20 segments81,138 customers placed7 ranked actions
Use case brief Published
Goal Keep subscribers past their next renewal

KPIs, in priority order

  1. 1 at_risk This use case Move subscribers from High churn risk to Low, above all ahead of renewal.
  2. 2 is_cycler Turn subscribers who join for one release into year-round subscribers.
  3. 3 7d_adfrequency Keep ad load below the level where cancellations climb.

Channels

  • In-app
  • Email
  • Push
  • CRM / Lifecycle
  • Ad server
  • Paid social
14 segments4.2M subscribers placed7 ranked actions
Use case brief Published
Goal Renew more season holders

KPIs, in priority order

  1. 1 renewal_risk This use case Move holders from High renewal risk to Low before renewal opens.
  2. 2 events_attended_band Keep holders at the games: attendance predicts renewal.
  3. 3 app_user Keep holders in the app, where ticket exchange stops empty seats becoming lost renewals.

Channels

  • Account reps
  • Email
  • App push
  • Ticketing
  • SMS
  • Customer Experience
  • Paid social
14 segments105,900 fans placed7 ranked actions
Use case brief Published
Goal Keep regulars coming back

KPIs, in priority order

  1. 1 recency_tier This use case Win back Cooling guests before they lapse, and Lapsed regulars where they now live.
  2. 2 frequency_tier Keep Regulars at their own cadence.
  3. 3 rewards_member Keep members active between rewards.

Channels

  • Email
  • SMS
  • Bookings
  • POS
  • Direct mail
  • Google
  • Loyalty / Rewards
  • +1 more
14 segments149,400 guests placed7 ranked actions

Every use case starts with a brief like this one.

The action plan

The plays that win the second order.

An example run for Pacewright Running, a Neuralift demo brand: a performance running brand with its own shoes and apparel. Four of its seven ranked actions are retention plays: step through them and the map lights up the segments each one reaches.

Read the segments by
Segments 20
Customers 81,138
On this lens orders_label
  • One-time
  • Repeat
  • Loyal

Pacewright Running, a Neuralift demo brand, in an illustrative run: the segments and figures are examples. Hover a segment to see what sets it apart.
Action 01 of 07 Protects margin

Trigger the second pair when the first wears out

  • impact: high
  • effort: low
  • confidence: strong
~$208K est. incremental value
Reaches 29,747 customers · 30% of the base

One more pair moves them up a band

$130their typical lifetime spend today $200where the High band starts

Who
One-order footwear buyers with a known model and size, six to nine months on
Offer
The same model or its successor at list, with free returns and a size hold
Suggested vs observed Suggested Treated
EmailSMSCRM 10% holdout · 180d
Action 02 of 07 Margin neutral

Turn one purchase into a signed-in loyalty account

  • impact: high
  • effort: low
  • confidence: good
~1.7K est. customers who sign in and activate membership
Reaches 20,808 customers · 21% of the base

Signed-in members spend twice as much

$325engaged members $156everyone else

Who
Recent buyers with zero or one sign-in day
Offer
Free membership: a saved fit profile, restock alerts and replacement timing
Suggested vs observed Suggested Treated
EmailSMSLoyalty 10% holdout · 120d
Action 06 of 07 Protects margin

Give first-buyers early access instead of a markdown

  • impact: medium
  • effort: medium
  • confidence: good
~$74K est. incremental value
Reaches 12,683 customers · 13% of the base

They buy models fresh to market

12 momedian time past launch of the freshest model they bought

Who
Full-price buyers whose freshest model was under a year past launch
Offer
A 48–72 hour first look with their size held, at list price
Suggested vs observed Suggested Treated
EmailSMSLoyalty 15% holdout · 150d
Action 07 of 07 Protects margin

Open the store counter as a second-order channel

  • impact: low
  • effort: high
  • confidence: good
~709 est. customers who book a fitting and buy
Reaches 7,093 customers · 7% of the base

The store already wins repeat orders

57%of these households buy again 31%brand-wide

Who
Store-counter customers, above all households buying for several wearers
Offer
A reserved fitting for every wearer, first pick of new launches and an add-on per pair
Suggested vs observed Suggested Treated
CRMSMSLoyalty 15% holdout · 180d
01 / 04
The action plan

The plays that keep them past the finale.

An example run for VistaStream, a Neuralift demo brand: a US streamer with ad-supported and ad-free plans, briefed to keep subscribers past renewal. Four of its seven ranked actions are retention plays: step through them and the map lights up the segments each one reaches.

Read the segments by
Segments 14
Subscribers 4,200,000
On this lens at_risk
  • Low
  • Medium
  • High

VistaStream, a Neuralift demo brand, in an illustrative run: the segments and figures are examples. Hover a segment to see what sets it apart.
Action 01 of 07 Margin neutral

Offer cyclers an annual plan before the finale airs

  • impact: high
  • effort: low
  • confidence: good
~48K est. subscribers who stay through the gap between releases
Reaches 400,000 subscribers · 10% of the base

Cyclers leave within weeks of a finale

71%cancel within 30 days of a finale 18%everyone else

Who
Subscribers who join for a release and leave within two months, in a season's final week
Offer
An annual plan at ten months' price, offered before the finale, with the next release dated
Suggested vs observed Suggested Treated
In-appEmailPush 15% holdout · 120d
Action 02 of 07 Protects margin

Cap ad load for viewers whose churn risk is rising

  • impact: high
  • effort: low
  • confidence: good
~16.6K est. subscribers who stay subscribed past their next renewal
Reaches 276,000 subscribers · 7% of the base

Cancellations climb past 120 ads a week

3.1×cancel rate above 120 ads 1×under 60 ads

Who
Ad-tier viewers above 120 ads a week whose churn risk is Medium or High
Offer
A cap at 90 ads a week, with the freed impressions moved to light viewers
Suggested vs observed Suggested Treated
Ad serverIn-appCRM 15% holdout · 120d
Action 03 of 07 Protects margin

Bridge the off-season for live-sports viewers

  • impact: high
  • effort: low
  • confidence: good
~27.9K est. subscribers who stay subscribed between seasons
Reaches 310,000 subscribers · 7% of the base

They cycle out after the final game

48%cycle out between seasons

Who
Ad-tier sports viewers whose churn risk rises after the season's last game
Offer
An off-season slate of documentaries, classic games and the draft, pushed in the season's last two weeks
Suggested vs observed Suggested Treated
In-appPushEmail 15% holdout · 90d
Action 05 of 07 Protects margin

Welcome returning trialists with a lighter ad load

  • impact: medium
  • effort: low
  • confidence: good
~17.4K est. subscribers who stay past their promotional price
Reaches 124,000 subscribers · 3% of the base

A light first month keeps them

2.2×retention under 40 ads a week 1×at the ad-tier average

Who
Subscribers back on a promotional ad-tier price, in their first 30 days
Offer
A first month capped at 40 ads a week, then a note on what's new on their watchlist
Suggested vs observed Suggested Treated
Ad serverIn-appEmail 20% holdout · 60d
01 / 04
The action plan

The plays that fill the seats next season.

An example run for Granite Pulse Arena, a Neuralift demo brand, briefed to renew more season holders. Four of its seven ranked actions are retention plays: step through them and the map lights up the segments each one reaches.

Read the segments by
Segments 14
Fans 105,900
On this lens renewal_risk
  • Low
  • Medium
  • High

Granite Pulse Arena, a Neuralift demo brand, in an illustrative run: the segments and figures are examples. Hover a segment to see what sets it apart.
Action 01 of 07 Protects margin

Reach holders who stopped coming before renewal opens

  • impact: high
  • effort: medium
  • confidence: strong
~558 est. fans who renew their plan
Reaches 3,100 fans · 3% of the base

Empty seats predict a lost renewal

3.4×non-renewal after missing half the last ten games 1×holders at most games

Who
Season and half-season holders who've missed half of the last ten home games
Offer
A call from their account rep before renewal opens, with exchange credit for the games they missed
Suggested vs observed Suggested Treated
Account repsEmailApp push 10% holdout · 120d
Action 02 of 07 Margin neutral

Offer lapsed holders a plan built from the games they still buy

  • impact: high
  • effort: low
  • confidence: good
~552 est. fans who come back on a partial plan
Reaches 4,600 fans · 4% of the base

They never stopped coming to the big games

3.1games a season since giving up seats 1.2other single-game buyers

Who
Former season holders still buying two to four big games a season
Offer
A ten-game plan built around the rivalries they already buy, at a holder's price per seat
Suggested vs observed Suggested Treated
EmailAccount repsTicketing 15% holdout · 120d
Action 03 of 07 Margin neutral

Turn final-year students into first-year holders

  • impact: medium
  • effort: low
  • confidence: good
~154 est. fans who buy a plan after graduating
Reaches 2,200 fans · 2% of the base

Students who come five times keep coming

48%of 5+ game students buy the next year 12%other students

Who
Students with five or more games this season, in their final year
Offer
A graduate's half-season plan at the student price for its first year
Suggested vs observed Suggested Treated
App pushEmail 15% holdout · 120d
Action 05 of 07 Margin neutral

Renew kids' club families as a family plan

  • impact: medium
  • effort: low
  • confidence: good
~380 est. fans who renew as a family plan
Reaches 3,800 fans · 4% of the base

Kids' club families come as four

3.6tickets per visit 2.1everyone else

Who
Kids' club families whose membership ends this season
Offer
A six-game family plan with the kids' membership included
Suggested vs observed Suggested Treated
EmailApp pushTicketing 15% holdout · 90d
01 / 04
The action plan

The plays that win back the Friday regulars.

An example run for Leo's Steakhouse, a Neuralift demo brand with 24 restaurants, briefed to keep regulars coming back. Four of its seven ranked actions are retention plays: step through them and the map lights up the segments each one reaches.

Read the segments by
Segments 14
Guests 149,400
On this lens recency_tier
  • Lapsed
  • Cooling
  • Active

Leo's Steakhouse, a Neuralift demo brand, in an illustrative run: the segments and figures are examples. Hover a segment to see what sets it apart.
Action 01 of 07 Margin neutral

Win back weekend regulars at their nearest location

  • impact: medium
  • effort: medium
  • confidence: moderate
~979 est. guests who return within 60 days
Reaches 8,900 guests · 6% of the base

Most now live nearer the new Riverside location

68%within 15 minutes of Riverside 21%everyone else

Who
Friday-night regulars not seen in four to six months
Offer
A reserved Friday table at Riverside with its opening-night menu
Suggested vs observed Suggested Treated
EmailMailGoogle 15% holdout · 90d
Action 02 of 07 Protects margin

Catch regulars at the gap their cadence predicts

  • impact: high
  • effort: low
  • confidence: good
~1.6K est. guests who visit before they lapse
Reaches 11,100 guests · 7% of the base

One missed visit is the warning

3×lapse rate after a missed usual visit 1×regulars on cadence

Who
Regulars whose usual gap between visits has stretched by half
Offer
A note from their usual location's manager with this week's specials, and no discount
Suggested vs observed Suggested Treated
EmailSMS 15% holdout · 90d
Action 04 of 07 Margin neutral

Turn a gift-card visit into a second visit

  • impact: medium
  • effort: low
  • confidence: moderate
~360 est. guests who come back on their own card
Reaches 3,600 guests · 2% of the base

Most never come back after the card

14%return within a year 61%first-time guests who paid

Who
Guests who paid with a gift card someone else bought
Offer
A thank-you at the table with a table for two held next month, in their name
Suggested vs observed Suggested Treated
POSEmailBookings 20% holdout · 120d
Action 05 of 07 Protects margin

Book the next celebration before they leave

  • impact: medium
  • effort: low
  • confidence: good
~1.7K est. guests who book their next occasion with Leo's
Reaches 10,500 guests · 7% of the base

Their next occasion is already on the calendar

11 momedian gap between celebration visits

Who
Guests celebrating a birthday or an anniversary tonight
Offer
Next year's date saved, with a reminder a month before and their table and wine noted
Suggested vs observed Suggested Treated
BookingsEmailCRM 10% holdout · 120d
01 / 04
Why it's different

Beyond the churn score.

A churn model hands every customer a number: who might leave. It doesn't say why, what would keep them, or which of them were never really leaving. Neuralift finds the groups behind the score, the reason each one is drifting, and the play that brings it back.

A churn score

customer_idchurn_scoredecile
c_104210.821
c_338070.791
c_581120.771
c_209660.742
Who might leave. Not why, and not what to do about it.

A Neuralift view

Inside the top churn decile

  • A third of the top decile aren't leaving: their first pair is wearing out, and a dated replacement prompt brings them back at full price.
  • Seasonal Racers look lapsed every winter and return each spring, so a winter discount is margin spent on a visit that was coming anyway.
ReasonsRanked playsTimingHoldouts An example view.
  • Save the right customers

    Spend retention budget on the customers who'd leave without it, not on the ones who'd stay anyway or were never coming back.

  • Know the reason, not just the risk

    Each group comes with why it's drifting, so the play fits: a replacement prompt, a fit service, a store visit, rather than one discount for everyone.

  • Prove what you kept

    Every play ships with a holdout, so you can show the customers you kept that you'd otherwise have lost.

Why it's different

Beyond the churn score.

A churn model hands every customer a number: who might leave. It doesn't say why, what would keep them, or which of them were never really leaving. Neuralift finds the groups behind the score, the reason each one is drifting, and the play that brings it back.

A churn score

sub_idchurn_scoredecile
s_204180.841
s_511770.811
s_088230.781
s_663100.752
Who might leave. Not why, and not what to do about it.

A Neuralift view

Inside the top churn decile

  • Release-Window Cyclers aren't unhappy: they leave when a season ends and come back for the next, so an annual plan before the finale beats a win-back after it.
  • Ad-Fatigued Late-Night Viewers watch as much as ever. It's the ad load past 120 a week that's pushing them out, and a cap keeps them.
ReasonsRanked playsTimingHoldouts An example view on the VistaStream demo run.
  • Save the right customers

    Spend retention budget on the customers who'd leave without it, not on the ones who'd stay anyway or were never coming back.

  • Know the reason, not just the risk

    Each group comes with why it's drifting, so the play fits: a replacement prompt, a fit service, a store visit, rather than one discount for everyone.

  • Prove what you kept

    Every play ships with a holdout, so you can show the customers you kept that you'd otherwise have lost.

Why it's different

Beyond the churn score.

A churn model hands every customer a number: who might leave. It doesn't say why, what would keep them, or which of them were never really leaving. Neuralift finds the groups behind the score, the reason each one is drifting, and the play that brings it back.

A renewal score

account_idrenewal_riskdecile
a_204180.841
a_511770.811
a_088230.781
a_663100.752
Who might not renew. Not why, and not what to do about it.

A Neuralift view

Inside the top renewal-risk decile

  • Season holders who've stopped coming are telling you months before renewal. A rep's call and exchange credit now keeps the seat.
  • Lapsed Season Holders still buy three big games a season. A plan built from those games brings them back.
ReasonsRanked playsTimingHoldouts An example view on the Granite Pulse demo run.
  • Save the right customers

    Spend retention budget on the customers who'd leave without it, not on the ones who'd stay anyway or were never coming back.

  • Know the reason, not just the risk

    Each group comes with why it's drifting, so the play fits: a replacement prompt, a fit service, a store visit, rather than one discount for everyone.

  • Prove what you kept

    Every play ships with a holdout, so you can show the customers you kept that you'd otherwise have lost.

Why it's different

Beyond the churn score.

A churn model hands every customer a number: who might leave. It doesn't say why, what would keep them, or which of them were never really leaving. Neuralift finds the groups behind the score, the reason each one is drifting, and the play that brings it back.

A churn score

guest_idchurn_scoredecile
g_204180.841
g_511770.811
g_088230.781
g_663100.752
Who might leave. Not why, and not what to do about it.

A Neuralift view

Inside the top churn decile

  • Lapsed Weekend Regulars didn't fall out with Leo's: most now live nearer the new Riverside location, and a Friday table there brings them back.
  • Celebration Diners look lapsed between occasions by design. Booking next year's date before they leave beats any win-back.
ReasonsRanked playsTimingHoldouts An example view on the Leo's Steakhouse demo run.
  • Save the right customers

    Spend retention budget on the customers who'd leave without it, not on the ones who'd stay anyway or were never coming back.

  • Know the reason, not just the risk

    Each group comes with why it's drifting, so the play fits: a replacement prompt, a fit service, a store visit, rather than one discount for everyone.

  • Prove what you kept

    Every play ships with a holdout, so you can show the customers you kept that you'd otherwise have lost.

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