Retention is a question of who returns, who lapses and what moves them. Ask it of a model trained on your own customers and the answer comes back as ranked plays: who to reach, with what, through which channel, and how to prove it worked.
1lifetime_spend_labelMove customers into higher bands, above all from Moderate to High.
2orders_labelThis use caseTurn one-time buyers into repeat buyers.
3loyalty_engagement_labelGrow the Engaged group, who spend twice as much and repeat three times as often.
4account_age_labelSee more customers reach Long-standing, five years or more.
Channels
Email
SMS
CRM / Lifecycle
Loyalty / Rewards
Customer Experience
Meta
Google
+5 more
Use case briefPublished
GoalKeep subscribers past their next renewal
KPIs, in priority order
1at_riskThis use caseMove subscribers from High churn risk to Low, above all ahead of renewal.
2is_cyclerTurn subscribers who join for one release into year-round subscribers.
37d_adfrequencyKeep ad load below the level where cancellations climb.
Channels
In-app
Email
Push
CRM / Lifecycle
Ad server
Paid social
Use case briefPublished
GoalRenew more season holders
KPIs, in priority order
1renewal_riskThis use caseMove holders from High renewal risk to Low before renewal opens.
2events_attended_bandKeep holders at the games: attendance predicts renewal.
3app_userKeep holders in the app, where ticket exchange stops empty seats becoming lost renewals.
Channels
Account reps
Email
App push
Ticketing
SMS
Customer Experience
Paid social
Use case briefPublished
GoalKeep regulars coming back
KPIs, in priority order
1recency_tierThis use caseWin back Cooling guests before they lapse, and Lapsed regulars where they now live.
2frequency_tierKeep Regulars at their own cadence.
3rewards_memberKeep members active between rewards.
Channels
Email
SMS
Bookings
POS
Direct mail
Google
Loyalty / Rewards
+1 more
Every use case starts with a brief like this one.
The action plan
The plays that win the second order.
An example run for Pacewright Running, a Neuralift demo brand: a performance running brand with its own shoes and apparel. Four of its seven ranked actions are retention plays: step through them and the map lights up the segments each one reaches.
Read the segments by
Segments20
Customers81,138
On this lenslifetime_spend_labelorders_labelloyalty_engagement_labelaccount_age_label
37%38%18%
Light
Moderate
High
Top
73%22%
One-time
Repeat
Loyal
41%28%31%
No sign-ins
Signed in once
Engaged
24%56%
New
Established
Tenured
Long-standing
Shoebox Purists
Dana
Representative customer
10,031 customers · 12.4%
38%Light
32%Moderate
17%High
13%Top
68%One-time
18%Repeat
14%Loyal
42%No sign-ins
26%Signed in once
32%Engaged
23%New
51%Established
13%Tenured
14%Long-standing
What sets them apart
A shoes-and-nothing-else crowd, often buying for their children.
Spring race season drives the purchase, and partner channels bring more of it in than anywhere else.
31% High or Top lifetime spend.
Run-Club Shoe Faithful
Marcus
Representative customer
9,747 customers · 12.0%
31%Light
40%Moderate
21%High
8%Top
70%One-time
22%Repeat
8%Loyal
39%No sign-ins
26%Signed in once
35%Engaged
26%New
46%Established
14%Tenured
14%Long-standing
What sets them apart
Come for a performance pair as the season turns, found through site search.
Run-club and verified-service codes show up at checkout; holiday rush and lifestyle styles pass them by.
30% High or Top lifetime spend.
Comfort Stride Crowd
Linda
Representative customer
7,219 customers · 8.9%
39%Light
48%Moderate
12%High
1%Top
88%One-time
12%Repeat
0%Loyal
51%No sign-ins
25%Signed in once
24%Engaged
27%New
64%Established
5%Tenured
3%Long-standing
What sets them apart
One walking shoe, one purpose, one wearer, bought outright and mostly online.
No performance running pair in the box: everything they own from the brand is lifestyle.
13% High or Top lifetime spend.
Single-Lane Runners
Theo
Representative customer
4,882 customers · 6.0%
50%Light
25%Moderate
18%High
8%Top
70%One-time
24%Repeat
6%Loyal
35%No sign-ins
35%Signed in once
31%Engaged
26%New
55%Established
10%Tenured
9%Long-standing
What sets them apart
One product type for one purpose, often running apparel rather than shoes.
Read the returns, policy and support pages before they commit again.
25% High or Top lifetime spend.
Promo-Timed Online Shoe Shoppers
Kayla
Representative customer
4,809 customers · 5.9%
35%Light
31%Moderate
25%High
9%Top
59%One-time
34%Repeat
7%Loyal
31%No sign-ins
30%Signed in once
39%Engaged
11%New
62%Established
16%Tenured
11%Long-standing
What sets them apart
The relationship starts, and usually stops, at a discounted running pair.
November is their month: they come in on the Black Friday markdown, through site search.
34% High or Top lifetime spend.
Fashion-First Footwear Buyers
Tatum
Representative customer
3,788 customers · 4.7%
21%Light
52%Moderate
21%High
6%Top
75%One-time
23%Repeat
2%Loyal
39%No sign-ins
25%Signed in once
36%Engaged
46%New
47%Established
5%Tenured
2%Long-standing
What sets them apart
Style shoppers inside a running brand, choosing from the fashion pages.
Pay a fuller ticket online and leave the performance catalog untouched.
27% High or Top lifetime spend.
Full-Price Road Regulars
Owen
Representative customer
3,566 customers · 4.4%
27%Light
41%Moderate
19%High
13%Top
66%One-time
23%Repeat
11%Loyal
36%No sign-ins
19%Signed in once
45%Engaged
20%New
54%Established
14%Tenured
12%Long-standing
What sets them apart
Single-minded running-shoe buyers who shop the site and nothing else.
Buy in late summer, read the rewards page, and let member pricing do the discounting.
32% High or Top lifetime spend.
Tennis Court Regulars
Victor
Representative customer
3,562 customers · 4.4%
38%Light
37%Moderate
20%High
5%Top
73%One-time
24%Repeat
3%Loyal
49%No sign-ins
27%Signed in once
24%Engaged
22%New
61%Established
10%Tenured
7%Long-standing
What sets them apart
Come for court shoes and nothing else: one proven pair, close to list price.
Running, apparel and promotional hooks pass them by.
24% High or Top lifetime spend.
Style-First Sneaker Buyers
Jade
Representative customer
3,400 customers · 4.2%
40%Light
45%Moderate
14%High
2%Top
85%One-time
14%Repeat
1%Loyal
43%No sign-ins
40%Signed in once
18%Engaged
34%New
53%Established
6%Tenured
7%Long-standing
What sets them apart
A single pair chosen for how it looks, not what it's built to do.
Product pages rarely convert on the spot, and few come back to the site.
15% High or Top lifetime spend.
New Year Speed Seekers
Priya
Representative customer
3,307 customers · 4.1%
30%Light
40%Moderate
25%High
5%Top
79%One-time
19%Repeat
2%Loyal
46%No sign-ins
20%Signed in once
35%Engaged
35%New
50%Established
8%Tenured
8%Long-standing
What sets them apart
A fast performance shoe, ordered online at the turn of the year.
Lifestyle pieces are absent from the basket.
30% High or Top lifetime spend.
Counter-Fit Running Households
Rosa
Representative customer
3,146 customers · 3.9%
11%Light
33%Moderate
43%High
13%Top
34%One-time
57%Repeat
9%Loyal
14%No sign-ins
40%Signed in once
47%Engaged
15%New
46%Established
22%Tenured
17%Long-standing
What sets them apart
Households who buy running shoes at the store counter, not on the site.
Apparel rides along with the shoes; court sports draw no attention.
56% High or Top lifetime spend.
Clearance-Rack Shoe Hunters
Derek
Representative customer
2,994 customers · 3.7%
59%Light
27%Moderate
13%High
2%Top
74%One-time
24%Repeat
2%Loyal
28%No sign-ins
28%Signed in once
45%Engaged
16%New
64%Established
12%Tenured
8%Long-standing
What sets them apart
Outlet shoppers, not brand shoppers: an older model, discounted, bought once.
Member pricing stacks on the markdown; they live on the order and shipping pages.
14% High or Top lifetime spend.
Trailhead Newcomers
Wyatt
Representative customer
2,889 customers · 3.6%
40%Light
35%Moderate
20%High
5%Top
71%One-time
26%Repeat
3%Loyal
40%No sign-ins
30%Signed in once
30%Engaged
22%New
56%Established
12%Tenured
11%Long-standing
What sets them apart
Trail is how they entered the brand: one off-road pair at the pricier end.
Little browsing, almost no email clicks and no curiosity about rewards.
25% High or Top lifetime spend.
Pitch-and-Court Rookies
Mateo
Representative customer
2,854 customers · 3.5%
38%Light
45%Moderate
13%High
3%Top
82%One-time
16%Repeat
3%Loyal
58%No sign-ins
19%Signed in once
23%Engaged
33%New
54%Established
7%Tenured
6%Long-standing
What sets them apart
One online order for one sport need, tilted toward soccer and core performance.
Bought as spring turns to summer, close to list, with loyalty benefits ignored.
17% High or Top lifetime spend.
Accessory-Led Store Visitors
Joan
Representative customer
2,737 customers · 3.4%
43%Light
40%Moderate
15%High
2%Top
81%One-time
18%Repeat
1%Loyal
28%No sign-ins
42%Signed in once
30%Engaged
32%New
50%Established
9%Tenured
9%Long-standing
What sets them apart
A small mixed basket at the counter: an accessory beside a modest shoe.
No sport attached and almost no site browsing either side of the purchase.
17% High or Top lifetime spend.
Warm-Month Running Purists
Nina
Representative customer
2,654 customers · 3.3%
40%Light
49%Moderate
10%High
1%Top
90%One-time
10%Repeat
0%Loyal
66%No sign-ins
18%Signed in once
17%Engaged
21%New
66%Established
6%Tenured
7%Long-standing
What sets them apart
Shoe-only first buyers who pick a freshly launched style in June or October.
No store trip, no add-ons, no rewards sign-in, and email goes unclicked.
11% High or Top lifetime spend.
Opt-Out Footwear Loyalists
Harold
Representative customer
2,554 customers · 3.1%
36%Light
36%Moderate
22%High
6%Top
66%One-time
29%Repeat
4%Loyal
32%No sign-ins
35%Signed in once
33%Engaged
9%New
52%Established
24%Tenured
15%Long-standing
What sets them apart
Loyal shoe buyers who have already reached for the unsubscribe link.
Walking styles fit their routine, and they seldom shop on a phone.
28% High or Top lifetime spend.
Shoes-Only Full-Price Shoppers
Celia
Representative customer
2,491 customers · 3.1%
38%Light
43%Moderate
16%High
4%Top
80%One-time
18%Repeat
3%Loyal
42%No sign-ins
38%Signed in once
20%Engaged
12%New
73%Established
9%Tenured
7%Long-standing
What sets them apart
Come in once, in early fall or November, for a single pair on its merits.
Loyalty pricing sits idle and inbox actions stay quiet.
20% High or Top lifetime spend.
Court Sport Starters
Andre
Representative customer
2,383 customers · 2.9%
57%Light
31%Moderate
11%High
1%Top
81%One-time
18%Repeat
1%Loyal
48%No sign-ins
32%Signed in once
21%Engaged
24%New
60%Established
9%Tenured
7%Long-standing
What sets them apart
Came for one indoor court pair and stopped there.
Court-sport pages draw them in; the running wall goes unshopped.
13% High or Top lifetime spend.
December Running Newcomers
Sienna
Representative customer
2,125 customers · 2.6%
48%Light
42%Moderate
10%High
1%Top
91%One-time
9%Repeat
0%Loyal
49%No sign-ins
35%Signed in once
17%Engaged
0%New
87%Established
7%Tenured
6%Long-standing
What sets them apart
A single running pair at holiday time, at or near list price.
Then quiet on every channel: no run-club code, no apparel, no repeat.
10% High or Top lifetime spend.
Pacewright Running, a Neuralift demo brand, in an illustrative run: the segments and figures are examples. Hover a segment to see what sets it apart.
Action 01 of 07Protects margin
Trigger the second pair when the first wears out
impact: high
effort: low
confidence: strong
~$208Kest. incremental value
Reaches 29,747 customers · 30% of the base
One more pair moves them up a band
$130their typical lifetime spend todayvs$200where the High band starts
Who
One-order footwear buyers with a known model and size, six to nine months on
Offer
The same model or its successor at list, with free returns and a size hold
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
Action 02 of 07Margin neutral
Turn one purchase into a signed-in loyalty account
impact: high
effort: low
confidence: good
~1.7Kest. customers who sign in and activate membership
Reaches 20,808 customers · 21% of the base
Signed-in members spend twice as much
$325engaged membersvs$156everyone else
Who
Recent buyers with zero or one sign-in day
Offer
Free membership: a saved fit profile, restock alerts and replacement timing
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
Action 06 of 07Protects margin
Give first-buyers early access instead of a markdown
impact: medium
effort: medium
confidence: good
~$74Kest. incremental value
Reaches 12,683 customers · 13% of the base
They buy models fresh to market
12 momedian time past launch of the freshest model they bought
Who
Full-price buyers whose freshest model was under a year past launch
Offer
A 48–72 hour first look with their size held, at list price
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
Action 07 of 07Protects margin
Open the store counter as a second-order channel
impact: low
effort: high
confidence: good
~709est. customers who book a fitting and buy
Reaches 7,093 customers · 7% of the base
The store already wins repeat orders
57%of these households buy againvs31%brand-wide
Who
Store-counter customers, above all households buying for several wearers
Offer
A reserved fitting for every wearer, first pick of new launches and an add-on per pair
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
01 / 04
The action plan
The plays that keep them past the finale.
An example run for VistaStream, a Neuralift demo brand: a US streamer with ad-supported and ad-free plans, briefed to keep subscribers past renewal. Four of its seven ranked actions are retention plays: step through them and the map lights up the segments each one reaches.
Read the segments by
Segments14
Subscribers4,200,000
On this lens7d_adfrequencyat_riskis_cycler
28%33%26%13%
Light
Moderate
Heavy
Very heavy
51%31%19%
Low
Medium
High
68%32%
No
Yes
Weekend Family Co-Viewers
Maya
Representative customer
512,000 subscribers · 12.2%
12%Light
44%Moderate
34%Heavy
10%Very heavy
62%Low
28%Medium
10%High
88%No
12%Yes
What sets them apart
Watch together on the living-room TV, Friday to Sunday evenings.
Family films and kids' series lead.
Brand-safe, high-attention reach.
Premium Ad-Free Loyalists
Clive
Representative customer
452,000 subscribers · 10.8%
100%Light
0%Moderate
0%Heavy
0%Very heavy
80%Low
16%Medium
4%High
94%No
6%Yes
What sets them apart
On the premium plan, so they see no ads.
The longest tenure in the base.
Not an ad audience; their viewing seeds lookalikes.
Live Sports Ad-Tier Viewers
Cody
Representative customer
438,000 subscribers · 10.4%
4%Light
22%Moderate
46%Heavy
28%Very heavy
44%Low
34%Medium
22%High
52%No
48%Yes
What sets them apart
Join for the season's live games on the ad tier.
The heaviest ad loads in the base during games.
Cycle out between seasons.
Prestige Drama Bingers
Harper
Representative customer
396,000 subscribers · 9.4%
36%Light
42%Moderate
18%Heavy
4%Very heavy
58%Low
30%Medium
12%High
64%No
36%Yes
What sets them apart
Binge new seasons of the originals in the first week.
Few ads an hour, deep attention.
A premium audience for launch sponsors.
Release-Window Cyclers
Eli
Representative customer
382,000 subscribers · 9.1%
30%Light
40%Moderate
22%Heavy
8%Very heavy
18%Low
36%Medium
46%High
0%No
100%Yes
What sets them apart
Subscribe for a big release, cancel within two months, return for the next.
At risk by design between releases.
A predictable calendar for ad sales.
Daytime Reality Streamers
Bev
Representative customer
344,000 subscribers · 8.2%
8%Light
30%Moderate
42%Heavy
20%Very heavy
50%Low
34%Medium
16%High
80%No
20%Yes
What sets them apart
Reality and lifestyle shows on weekday afternoons.
Long sessions on the ad tier.
Strong for retail and beauty advertisers.
Kids' Profile Households
Gemma
Representative customer
298,000 subscribers · 7.1%
40%Light
46%Moderate
12%Heavy
2%Very heavy
72%Low
22%Medium
6%High
90%No
10%Yes
What sets them apart
Most viewing is on kids' profiles.
Ads are limited by policy on those profiles.
Kept out of targeted ad audiences.
Mobile Commuter Snackers
Noor
Representative customer
276,000 subscribers · 6.6%
18%Light
50%Moderate
26%Heavy
6%Very heavy
46%Low
36%Medium
18%High
82%No
18%Yes
What sets them apart
Short episodes on the phone, weekday mornings.
Shorter ad pods suit them.
Reachable at the start of the day.
Spanish-Language Viewers
Lucia
Representative customer
236,000 subscribers · 5.6%
14%Light
40%Moderate
34%Heavy
12%Very heavy
54%Low
32%Medium
14%High
78%No
22%Yes
What sets them apart
Spanish-language originals and telenovelas lead.
Under-served by today's ad packages.
An audience advertisers ask for.
Ad-Fatigued Late-Night Viewers
Hal
Representative customer
214,000 subscribers · 5.1%
0%Light
6%Moderate
28%Heavy
66%Very heavy
20%Low
38%Medium
42%High
70%No
30%Yes
What sets them apart
See more than 120 ads a week, mostly after 10pm.
Ad completion falls in the last hour of a session.
Churn risk rising with ad load.
Price-Sensitive Downgraders
Brent
Representative customer
188,000 subscribers · 4.5%
6%Light
30%Moderate
40%Heavy
24%Very heavy
22%Low
38%Medium
40%High
60%No
40%Yes
What sets them apart
Moved from Standard to the ad tier this year.
Watch as much as before, with more ads.
Churn risk climbs with ad load.
Documentary Deep-Divers
Rhys
Representative customer
168,000 subscribers · 4.0%
44%Light
40%Moderate
14%Heavy
2%Very heavy
64%Low
28%Medium
8%High
76%No
24%Yes
What sets them apart
Search-led factual viewing, finished to the end.
High ad completion, low ad load.
Premium for finance and auto advertisers.
Movie Night Renters
Jules
Representative customer
154,000 subscribers · 3.7%
26%Light
44%Moderate
24%Heavy
6%Very heavy
52%Low
32%Medium
16%High
70%No
30%Yes
What sets them apart
Weekend movie nights, often a new release.
Ads before the film, few during it.
Strong for food delivery and entertainment.
Returning Trialists
Ari
Representative customer
142,000 subscribers · 3.4%
22%Light
44%Moderate
26%Heavy
8%Very heavy
30%Low
40%Medium
30%High
42%No
58%Yes
What sets them apart
Came back on a promotional ad-tier price.
Still deciding whether to stay.
A light ad load keeps them.
VistaStream, a Neuralift demo brand, in an illustrative run: the segments and figures are examples. Hover a segment to see what sets it apart.
Action 01 of 07Margin neutral
Offer cyclers an annual plan before the finale airs
impact: high
effort: low
confidence: good
~48Kest. subscribers who stay through the gap between releases
Reaches 400,000 subscribers · 10% of the base
Cyclers leave within weeks of a finale
71%cancel within 30 days of a finalevs18%everyone else
Who
Subscribers who join for a release and leave within two months, in a season's final week
Offer
An annual plan at ten months' price, offered before the finale, with the next release dated
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
Action 02 of 07Protects margin
Cap ad load for viewers whose churn risk is rising
impact: high
effort: low
confidence: good
~16.6Kest. subscribers who stay subscribed past their next renewal
Reaches 276,000 subscribers · 7% of the base
Cancellations climb past 120 ads a week
3.1×cancel rate above 120 adsvs1×under 60 ads
Who
Ad-tier viewers above 120 ads a week whose churn risk is Medium or High
Offer
A cap at 90 ads a week, with the freed impressions moved to light viewers
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
Action 03 of 07Protects margin
Bridge the off-season for live-sports viewers
impact: high
effort: low
confidence: good
~27.9Kest. subscribers who stay subscribed between seasons
Reaches 310,000 subscribers · 7% of the base
They cycle out after the final game
48%cycle out between seasons
Who
Ad-tier sports viewers whose churn risk rises after the season's last game
Offer
An off-season slate of documentaries, classic games and the draft, pushed in the season's last two weeks
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
Action 05 of 07Protects margin
Welcome returning trialists with a lighter ad load
impact: medium
effort: low
confidence: good
~17.4Kest. subscribers who stay past their promotional price
Reaches 124,000 subscribers · 3% of the base
A light first month keeps them
2.2×retention under 40 ads a weekvs1×at the ad-tier average
Who
Subscribers back on a promotional ad-tier price, in their first 30 days
Offer
A first month capped at 40 ads a week, then a note on what's new on their watchlist
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
01 / 04
The action plan
The plays that fill the seats next season.
An example run for Granite Pulse Arena, a Neuralift demo brand, briefed to renew more season holders. Four of its seven ranked actions are retention plays: step through them and the map lights up the segments each one reaches.
Read the segments by
Segments14
Fans105,900
On this lensevents_attended_bandapp_useravg_event_spendparking_userrenewal_riskpartner_optin
32%36%19%14%
1
2–4
5–9
10+
46%54%
No
Yes
16%37%31%15%
Low
Mid
High
Premium
48%52%
No
Yes
38%35%26%
Low
Medium
High
51%49%
No
Yes
Concert-Only Ticket Buyers
Lola
Representative customer
14,600 fans · 13.8%
64%1
32%2–4
4%5–9
0%10+
70%No
30%Yes
10%Low
38%Mid
38%High
14%Premium
58%No
42%Yes
30%Low
40%Medium
30%High
62%No
38%Yes
What sets them apart
Come for concerts and shows, never a game.
Buy on the primary site and skip the app.
Spend well on drinks on the night.
Single-Game Family Outings
Paige
Representative customer
12,300 fans · 11.6%
58%1
40%2–4
2%5–9
0%10+
64%No
36%Yes
20%Low
48%Mid
26%High
6%Premium
34%No
66%Yes
34%Low
42%Medium
24%High
48%No
52%Yes
What sets them apart
Two adults and two kids, once or twice a season.
Promotional nights decide the date.
Park on site and arrive early.
App-Active Game-Day Regulars
Jamal
Representative customer
10,900 fans · 10.3%
0%1
22%2–4
58%5–9
20%10+
0%No
100%Yes
14%Low
46%Mid
32%High
8%Premium
40%No
60%Yes
58%Low
30%Medium
12%High
36%No
64%Yes
What sets them apart
Use the app for tickets, in-seat food and replays.
Five to nine games a season.
Answer a game-day push within minutes.
Season Ticket Core
Gus
Representative customer
9,200 fans · 8.7%
0%1
0%2–4
12%5–9
88%10+
18%No
82%Yes
4%Low
26%Mid
44%High
26%Premium
22%No
78%Yes
66%Low
24%Medium
10%High
30%No
70%Yes
What sets them apart
Half- and full-season holders at nearly every home game.
App and parking users almost to a person.
The fans every other segment could become.
Student Night Crowd
Zack
Representative customer
8,900 fans · 8.4%
30%1
52%2–4
16%5–9
2%10+
26%No
74%Yes
56%Low
36%Mid
7%High
1%Premium
96%No
4%Yes
28%Low
40%Medium
32%High
42%No
58%Yes
What sets them apart
Student-priced tickets, in groups, on Thursday nights.
Low spend, high noise, tickets in the app wallet.
Next year's full-price fans.
Late-Arriving Downtown Workers
Ravi
Representative customer
8,400 fans · 7.9%
10%1
52%2–4
30%5–9
8%10+
42%No
58%Yes
24%Low
44%Mid
26%High
6%Premium
92%No
8%Yes
40%Low
40%Medium
20%High
56%No
44%Yes
What sets them apart
Walk over from the office and arrive after tip-off.
Never park, rarely eat before the game.
A short window for in-seat ordering.
Merch-First Fans
Tess
Representative customer
7,600 fans · 7.2%
24%1
50%2–4
22%5–9
4%10+
38%No
62%Yes
10%Low
34%Mid
40%High
16%Premium
48%No
52%Yes
46%Low
38%Medium
16%High
34%No
66%Yes
What sets them apart
Buy jerseys and drops in the arena store and online.
Merchandise is half their spend.
Player-release weeks bring them in.
Lapsed Season Holders
Doug
Representative customer
6,800 fans · 6.4%
30%1
62%2–4
8%5–9
0%10+
56%No
44%Yes
12%Low
40%Mid
36%High
12%Premium
44%No
56%Yes
10%Low
34%Medium
56%High
52%No
48%Yes
What sets them apart
Gave up season seats in the last two years.
Still come to two to four big games.
Still logged into the app.
Resale-Market Opportunists
Nico
Representative customer
6,100 fans · 5.8%
44%1
48%2–4
8%5–9
0%10+
72%No
28%Yes
18%Low
40%Mid
32%High
10%Premium
50%No
50%Yes
22%Low
38%Medium
40%High
80%No
20%Yes
What sets them apart
Buy late on resale for rivalry games.
Never in the app's ticket wallet.
A primary-ticket buyer the arena doesn't reach.
Parking-Pass Early Arrivers
Carla
Representative customer
5,200 fans · 4.9%
4%1
34%2–4
44%5–9
18%10+
22%No
78%Yes
6%Low
30%Mid
44%High
20%Premium
0%No
100%Yes
62%Low
28%Medium
10%High
40%No
60%Yes
What sets them apart
Pre-pay parking and arrive an hour before tip-off.
Eat at the arena, often before the doors to the bowl open.
The highest food spend outside the clubs.
Out-of-Town Visiting Fans
Hugh
Representative customer
4,700 fans · 4.4%
96%1
4%2–4
0%5–9
0%10+
88%No
12%Yes
14%Low
42%Mid
32%High
12%Premium
62%No
38%Yes
8%Low
22%Medium
70%High
86%No
14%Yes
What sets them apart
Travel in to follow the away team.
One game, one night, a hotel nearby.
Buy the other team's merchandise.
Kids Club Members
Abby
Representative customer
4,400 fans · 4.2%
20%1
52%2–4
26%5–9
2%10+
60%No
40%Yes
20%Low
52%Mid
24%High
4%Premium
36%No
64%Yes
48%Low
36%Medium
16%High
38%No
62%Yes
What sets them apart
Under-14 members, brought by a parent.
Kids' club nights and mascot events.
Family plans grow from here.
Premium Club Seat Holders
Vivian
Representative customer
3,900 fans · 3.7%
2%1
12%2–4
36%5–9
50%10+
30%No
70%Yes
0%Low
2%Mid
18%High
80%Premium
12%No
88%Yes
52%Low
30%Medium
18%High
58%No
42%Yes
What sets them apart
Club seats and suites, many on a company account.
The highest spend per event in the building.
Dining and lounge access drive the visit.
Corporate Hospitality Guests
Elaine
Representative customer
2,900 fans · 2.7%
52%1
40%2–4
8%5–9
0%10+
90%No
10%Yes
0%Low
4%Mid
24%High
72%Premium
30%No
70%Yes
20%Low
36%Medium
44%High
84%No
16%Yes
What sets them apart
Attend in suites as a client or an employee.
Never buy their own ticket.
A path to personal fandom.
Granite Pulse Arena, a Neuralift demo brand, in an illustrative run: the segments and figures are examples. Hover a segment to see what sets it apart.
Action 01 of 07Protects margin
Reach holders who stopped coming before renewal opens
impact: high
effort: medium
confidence: strong
~558est. fans who renew their plan
Reaches 3,100 fans · 3% of the base
Empty seats predict a lost renewal
3.4×non-renewal after missing half the last ten gamesvs1×holders at most games
Who
Season and half-season holders who've missed half of the last ten home games
Offer
A call from their account rep before renewal opens, with exchange credit for the games they missed
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
Action 02 of 07Margin neutral
Offer lapsed holders a plan built from the games they still buy
impact: high
effort: low
confidence: good
~552est. fans who come back on a partial plan
Reaches 4,600 fans · 4% of the base
They never stopped coming to the big games
3.1games a season since giving up seatsvs1.2other single-game buyers
Who
Former season holders still buying two to four big games a season
Offer
A ten-game plan built around the rivalries they already buy, at a holder's price per seat
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
Action 03 of 07Margin neutral
Turn final-year students into first-year holders
impact: medium
effort: low
confidence: good
~154est. fans who buy a plan after graduating
Reaches 2,200 fans · 2% of the base
Students who come five times keep coming
48%of 5+ game students buy the next yearvs12%other students
Who
Students with five or more games this season, in their final year
Offer
A graduate's half-season plan at the student price for its first year
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
Action 05 of 07Margin neutral
Renew kids' club families as a family plan
impact: medium
effort: low
confidence: good
~380est. fans who renew as a family plan
Reaches 3,800 fans · 4% of the base
Kids' club families come as four
3.6tickets per visitvs2.1everyone else
Who
Kids' club families whose membership ends this season
Offer
A six-game family plan with the kids' membership included
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
01 / 04
The action plan
The plays that win back the Friday regulars.
An example run for Leo's Steakhouse, a Neuralift demo brand with 24 restaurants, briefed to keep regulars coming back. Four of its seven ranked actions are retention plays: step through them and the map lights up the segments each one reaches.
Read the segments by
Segments14
Guests149,400
On this lensaov_tierfrequency_tierrecency_tierrewards_member
23%38%25%14%
Low
Mid
High
Premium
42%36%22%
Occasional
Regular
Frequent
25%31%44%
Lapsed
Cooling
Active
68%32%
No
Yes
Celebration Diners
Bella
Representative customer
18,600 guests · 12.4%
6%Low
24%Mid
40%High
30%Premium
72%Occasional
24%Regular
4%Frequent
30%Lapsed
42%Cooling
28%Active
70%No
30%Yes
What sets them apart
Book for birthdays and anniversaries, two or three times a year.
Order the tomahawk, the wine pairing and dessert.
Respond to the occasion, not the discount.
Business Lunch Regulars
Grant
Representative customer
16,200 guests · 10.8%
10%Low
46%Mid
34%High
10%Premium
8%Occasional
40%Regular
52%Frequent
6%Lapsed
20%Cooling
74%Active
78%No
22%Yes
What sets them apart
Weekday lunch with clients, on a company card.
Frequent, quick and set-menu friendly.
Rarely seen at weekends.
Happy-Hour Bar Grazers
Kim
Representative customer
15,800 guests · 10.6%
58%Low
32%Mid
8%High
2%Premium
10%Occasional
44%Regular
46%Frequent
10%Lapsed
26%Cooling
64%Active
88%No
12%Yes
What sets them apart
Bar seats at happy hour: sliders, oysters and a cocktail.
Visit often, spend little per visit.
The bar knows them; the dining room hasn't met them.
Discount-Led Occasionals
Rick
Representative customer
14,900 guests · 10.0%
44%Low
40%Mid
13%High
3%Premium
80%Occasional
17%Regular
3%Frequent
42%Lapsed
38%Cooling
20%Active
62%No
38%Yes
What sets them apart
Come when a 20%-off email lands, and only then.
Order to the offer: the set menu and a soft drink.
The lowest margin per cover in the base.
Family Sunday Diners
Paul
Representative customer
13,600 guests · 9.1%
20%Low
52%Mid
24%High
4%Premium
34%Occasional
48%Regular
18%Frequent
18%Lapsed
32%Cooling
50%Active
56%No
44%Yes
What sets them apart
Sunday early evening, four or five covers, kids' menu.
Steady visitors, mid spend per head.
Respond to family bundles.
Lapsed Weekend Regulars
Lynn
Representative customer
11,200 guests · 7.5%
14%Low
42%Mid
34%High
10%Premium
40%Occasional
46%Regular
14%Frequent
72%Lapsed
24%Cooling
4%Active
48%No
52%Yes
What sets them apart
Were Friday-night regulars, last seen five months ago.
Spent as much per visit as ever when they came.
A new location opened near most of them.
Takeout Steak Night Households
Ben
Representative customer
10,300 guests · 6.9%
36%Low
44%Mid
16%High
4%Premium
26%Occasional
46%Regular
28%Frequent
14%Lapsed
30%Cooling
56%Active
72%No
28%Yes
What sets them apart
Order steak dinners to go on weeknights.
Rarely dine in.
Bundle-responsive: steak, sides and a bottle.
Loyalty Points Maximisers
Shane
Representative customer
9,900 guests · 6.6%
30%Low
46%Mid
20%High
4%Premium
18%Occasional
48%Regular
34%Frequent
10%Lapsed
30%Cooling
60%Active
0%No
100%Yes
What sets them apart
Track points closely and redeem at every chance.
Spend to the next reward threshold.
The reward decides the date.
Wine-Led Premium Diners
Olivia
Representative customer
9,400 guests · 6.3%
0%Low
8%Mid
36%High
56%Premium
30%Occasional
50%Regular
20%Frequent
12%Lapsed
30%Cooling
58%Active
82%No
18%Yes
What sets them apart
The wine list drives the check: half their spend is the bottle.
Regulars at two or three locations.
Never redeem a discount.
Pre-Theatre Set-Menu Guests
Ivy
Representative customer
8,700 guests · 5.8%
32%Low
52%Mid
14%High
2%Premium
52%Occasional
38%Regular
10%Frequent
16%Lapsed
36%Cooling
48%Active
80%No
20%Yes
What sets them apart
Book the 5:30 set menu before a show.
Two courses, little wine, out by 7.
About twenty minutes to upsell.
First-Visit Tourists
Ellie
Representative customer
7,100 guests · 4.8%
18%Low
40%Mid
30%High
12%Premium
96%Occasional
4%Regular
0%Frequent
60%Lapsed
30%Cooling
10%Active
96%No
4%Yes
What sets them apart
One visit while in town, often a hotel concierge referral.
Spend well on the night.
Won't become regulars, but may review.
Bar-to-Dining Upgraders
Rafael
Representative customer
5,600 guests · 3.7%
10%Low
44%Mid
36%High
10%Premium
20%Occasional
46%Regular
34%Frequent
8%Lapsed
28%Cooling
64%Active
66%No
34%Yes
What sets them apart
Started at the bar and now book the dining room too.
Spend per visit up by half over a year.
The path the Happy-Hour Grazers could follow.
Gift-Card Redeemers
Nell
Representative customer
4,300 guests · 2.9%
20%Low
36%Mid
30%High
14%Premium
86%Occasional
12%Regular
2%Frequent
46%Lapsed
34%Cooling
20%Active
94%No
6%Yes
What sets them apart
Visit to spend a gift card someone else bought.
Often spend past the card's value.
Most never come back on their own dime.
Private Dining Bookers
Diane
Representative customer
3,800 guests · 2.5%
0%Low
6%Mid
30%High
64%Premium
44%Occasional
40%Regular
16%Frequent
20%Lapsed
38%Cooling
42%Active
76%No
24%Yes
What sets them apart
Book the private dining room for teams and clients.
The highest check in the base.
Two or three events a year each.
Leo's Steakhouse, a Neuralift demo brand, in an illustrative run: the segments and figures are examples. Hover a segment to see what sets it apart.
Action 01 of 07Margin neutral
Win back weekend regulars at their nearest location
impact: medium
effort: medium
confidence: moderate
~979est. guests who return within 60 days
Reaches 8,900 guests · 6% of the base
Most now live nearer the new Riverside location
68%within 15 minutes of Riversidevs21%everyone else
Who
Friday-night regulars not seen in four to six months
Offer
A reserved Friday table at Riverside with its opening-night menu
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
Action 02 of 07Protects margin
Catch regulars at the gap their cadence predicts
impact: high
effort: low
confidence: good
~1.6Kest. guests who visit before they lapse
Reaches 11,100 guests · 7% of the base
One missed visit is the warning
3×lapse rate after a missed usual visitvs1×regulars on cadence
Who
Regulars whose usual gap between visits has stretched by half
Offer
A note from their usual location's manager with this week's specials, and no discount
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
Action 04 of 07Margin neutral
Turn a gift-card visit into a second visit
impact: medium
effort: low
confidence: moderate
~360est. guests who come back on their own card
Reaches 3,600 guests · 2% of the base
Most never come back after the card
14%return within a yearvs61%first-time guests who paid
Who
Guests who paid with a gift card someone else bought
Offer
A thank-you at the table with a table for two held next month, in their name
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
Action 05 of 07Protects margin
Book the next celebration before they leave
impact: medium
effort: low
confidence: good
~1.7Kest. guests who book their next occasion with Leo's
Reaches 10,500 guests · 7% of the base
Their next occasion is already on the calendar
11 momedian gap between celebration visits
Who
Guests celebrating a birthday or an anniversary tonight
Offer
Next year's date saved, with a reminder a month before and their table and wine noted
Suggested vs observedSuggested Treated
01 / 04
Why it's different
Beyond the churn score.
A churn model hands every customer a number: who might leave. It doesn't say why, what would keep them, or which of them were never really leaving. Neuralift finds the groups behind the score, the reason each one is drifting, and the play that brings it back.
A churn score
customer_idchurn_scoredecile
c_104210.821
c_338070.791
c_581120.771
c_209660.742
Who might leave. Not why, and not what to do about it.
A Neuralift view
Inside the top churn decile
Worn-Out First Pairs34%replacement dueSeasonal Racers22%back each springMarkdown-Only Buyers18%only buy on saleStore-Counter Households14%no digital reachGift Recipients12%never chose the brand
A third of the top decile aren't leaving: their first pair is wearing out, and a dated replacement prompt brings them back at full price.
Seasonal Racers look lapsed every winter and return each spring, so a winter discount is margin spent on a visit that was coming anyway.
ReasonsRanked playsTimingHoldoutsAn example view.
Save the right customers
Spend retention budget on the customers who'd leave without it, not on the ones who'd stay anyway or were never coming back.
Know the reason, not just the risk
Each group comes with why it's drifting, so the play fits: a replacement prompt, a fit service, a store visit, rather than one discount for everyone.
Prove what you kept
Every play ships with a holdout, so you can show the customers you kept that you'd otherwise have lost.
Why it's different
Beyond the churn score.
A churn model hands every customer a number: who might leave. It doesn't say why, what would keep them, or which of them were never really leaving. Neuralift finds the groups behind the score, the reason each one is drifting, and the play that brings it back.
A churn score
sub_idchurn_scoredecile
s_204180.841
s_511770.811
s_088230.781
s_663100.752
Who might leave. Not why, and not what to do about it.
A Neuralift view
Inside the top churn decile
Release-Window Cyclers31%leave between releasesAd-Fatigued Late-Night Viewers22%ad load, not contentLive Sports Ad-Tier Viewers19%back next seasonPrice-Sensitive Downgraders16%already traded downReturning Trialists12%promo price ending
Release-Window Cyclers aren't unhappy: they leave when a season ends and come back for the next, so an annual plan before the finale beats a win-back after it.
Ad-Fatigued Late-Night Viewers watch as much as ever. It's the ad load past 120 a week that's pushing them out, and a cap keeps them.
ReasonsRanked playsTimingHoldoutsAn example view on the VistaStream demo run.
Save the right customers
Spend retention budget on the customers who'd leave without it, not on the ones who'd stay anyway or were never coming back.
Know the reason, not just the risk
Each group comes with why it's drifting, so the play fits: a replacement prompt, a fit service, a store visit, rather than one discount for everyone.
Prove what you kept
Every play ships with a holdout, so you can show the customers you kept that you'd otherwise have lost.
Why it's different
Beyond the churn score.
A churn model hands every customer a number: who might leave. It doesn't say why, what would keep them, or which of them were never really leaving. Neuralift finds the groups behind the score, the reason each one is drifting, and the play that brings it back.
A renewal score
account_idrenewal_riskdecile
a_204180.841
a_511770.811
a_088230.781
a_663100.752
Who might not renew. Not why, and not what to do about it.
A Neuralift view
Inside the top renewal-risk decile
Season Ticket Core28%missed half the gamesLapsed Season Holders24%still buy big gamesOut-of-Town Visiting Fans18%never a holderCorporate Hospitality Guests16%the company renewsStudent Night Crowd14%graduating
Season holders who've stopped coming are telling you months before renewal. A rep's call and exchange credit now keeps the seat.
Lapsed Season Holders still buy three big games a season. A plan built from those games brings them back.
ReasonsRanked playsTimingHoldoutsAn example view on the Granite Pulse demo run.
Save the right customers
Spend retention budget on the customers who'd leave without it, not on the ones who'd stay anyway or were never coming back.
Know the reason, not just the risk
Each group comes with why it's drifting, so the play fits: a replacement prompt, a fit service, a store visit, rather than one discount for everyone.
Prove what you kept
Every play ships with a holdout, so you can show the customers you kept that you'd otherwise have lost.
Why it's different
Beyond the churn score.
A churn model hands every customer a number: who might leave. It doesn't say why, what would keep them, or which of them were never really leaving. Neuralift finds the groups behind the score, the reason each one is drifting, and the play that brings it back.
A churn score
guest_idchurn_scoredecile
g_204180.841
g_511770.811
g_088230.781
g_663100.752
Who might leave. Not why, and not what to do about it.
A Neuralift view
Inside the top churn decile
Lapsed Weekend Regulars30%moved near RiversideCelebration Diners20%next occasion dueGift-Card Redeemers20%never chose Leo'sFirst-Visit Tourists18%lapsed by geographyDiscount-Led Occasionals12%only come on offer
Lapsed Weekend Regulars didn't fall out with Leo's: most now live nearer the new Riverside location, and a Friday table there brings them back.
Celebration Diners look lapsed between occasions by design. Booking next year's date before they leave beats any win-back.
ReasonsRanked playsTimingHoldoutsAn example view on the Leo's Steakhouse demo run.
Save the right customers
Spend retention budget on the customers who'd leave without it, not on the ones who'd stay anyway or were never coming back.
Know the reason, not just the risk
Each group comes with why it's drifting, so the play fits: a replacement prompt, a fit service, a store visit, rather than one discount for everyone.
Prove what you kept
Every play ships with a holdout, so you can show the customers you kept that you'd otherwise have lost.
Horizontal by design
Your model. Any question.
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